NFL Week 4 Forecast Board: 15 Sunday and Monday Winner Calls
By SBA | Published October 4, 2026
Week 4 has 15 games left after Pittsburgh at Cleveland ended Thursday.[1] Sunday begins in London. Atlanta visits New Orleans Monday.[1] [2]
Every selection below is a straight up winner call. Projected scores frame expected game shape. Three games remain a small sample. Final inactive lists can still change a matchup.
London and Sunday Early Window
Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders, 9:30 AM ET. Winner: Colts. Projected score: Colts 27, Commanders 23. Confidence: 3/4. Indianapolis brings a steadier quarterback outlook into London, while Washington faces a major availability question under center. Both teams have shown enough offense to keep this one close, so the travel spot keeps the confidence below the top tier.
Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens, 1:00 PM ET. Winner: Ravens. Projected score: Ravens 27, Titans 17. Confidence: 3/4. Baltimore enters with the stronger early record and a productive offense. Tennessee has kept some games tight, but the Ravens have the better path to controlling the middle of the game if their key questionable players are active.
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills, 1:00 PM ET. Winner: Bills. Projected score: Bills 27, Patriots 17. Confidence: 3/4. Buffalo has paired an unbeaten start with stronger scoring production. New England can shorten the game if its offense avoids long negative sequences, though Buffalo has the more reliable baseline at home.
New York Jets at Chicago Bears, 1:00 PM ET. Winner: Bears. Projected score: Bears 23, Jets 20. Confidence: 2/4. Chicago gets the home edge after a strong Week 3 showing, but quarterback uncertainty lowers the ceiling of this call. The Jets have been competitive in recent losses, which makes a one score forecast more sensible than a runaway projection.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals, 1:00 PM ET. Winner: Jaguars. Projected score: Jaguars 30, Bengals 27. Confidence: 2/4. Jacksonville's defense has set an early standard, and its Week 3 performance showed the value of playing clean football. Cincinnati's home field and passing attack keep this in the toss up range, but Jacksonville gets a narrow edge on recent form.
Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans, 1:00 PM ET. Winner: Cowboys. Projected score: Cowboys 27, Texans 24. Confidence: 2/4. Dallas has produced more offense through three weeks. Houston has enough defensive front talent and home field value to make this a difficult call, so the projected margin stays at one field goal.
Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants, 1:00 PM ET. Winner: Cardinals. Projected score: Cardinals 23, Giants 17. Confidence: 3/4. Arizona has generated more consistent scoring so far. The Giants have the better record and the home crowd, but the Cardinals get the call if they protect the football and keep the game on schedule.
Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles, 1:00 PM ET. Winner: Rams. Projected score: Rams 27, Eagles 23. Confidence: 3/4. Los Angeles brings a high output offense into a game that should test both defenses. Philadelphia's home field makes this close, but the Rams have the cleaner path to a late scoring drive if their passing game is intact.
Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1:00 PM ET. Winner: Packers. Projected score: Packers 24, Buccaneers 17. Confidence: 3/4. Green Bay has the more settled quarterback situation. Tampa Bay's home setting and Green Bay's offensive line questions keep the margin modest, yet the Packers have the stronger passing baseline entering Sunday.
Sunday Late Games
Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings, 4:05 PM ET. Winner: Vikings. Projected score: Vikings 24, Dolphins 13. Confidence: 3/4. Minnesota's 3 and 0 start creates the clearest record edge in this window. Miami can change the pace with explosive plays, but the Vikings have shown the more dependable full game profile through three weeks.
Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders, 4:25 PM ET. Winner: Chiefs. Projected score: Chiefs 27, Raiders 23. Confidence: 3/4. Both teams are unbeaten, so this is one of the board's biggest tests. Kansas City owns a small defensive edge through three games, while Las Vegas has scored enough to make this a fourth quarter game.
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks, 4:25 PM ET. Winner: Seahawks. Projected score: Seahawks 24, Chargers 20. Confidence: 3/4. Seattle's home field and 2 and 1 start provide the separating factors. The Chargers have enough talent to force a close game, though Seattle's passing attack offers the better answer if the game turns into a late possession battle.
Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers, 4:25 PM ET. Winner: 49ers. Projected score: 49ers 27, Broncos 23. Confidence: 3/4. San Francisco has started fast and brings one of the league's better scoring profiles into this matchup. Denver's defense can keep the game within one score, but the 49ers get the nod at home.
Sunday Night and Monday.
Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers, 8:20 PM ET. Winner: Lions. Projected score: Lions 31, Panthers 24. Confidence: 3/4. Detroit has scored at least 30 points in every game so far. Carolina can make the night interesting at home, but Detroit's offensive consistency is the strongest single factor in this forecast.
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints, Monday, 8:15 PM ET. Winner: Falcons. Projected score: Falcons 27, Saints 24. Confidence: 2/4. Atlanta's Week 3 win gave its offense clear momentum, especially on the ground. New Orleans gets a divisional home game and a chance to reset after turnover issues, making this the board's lowest confidence call.
What to Check Before Kickoff
Player availability is the biggest moving part on this slate. Washington's quarterback situation, the late reports around Baltimore, Chicago, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, and several defensive fronts can change the expected game flow. London travel also adds a variable to the opening matchup.
Projected scores do not replace checking official inactive lists, weather, and the current market before any personal decision.
SBA Takeaway
Week 4 offers several close calls rather than a slate full of obvious spots. Buffalo, Minnesota, and Detroit carry the most stable early profiles, but Kansas City at Las Vegas, Jacksonville at Cincinnati, and Atlanta at New Orleans carry more uncertainty than a simple record check suggests. Use these calls as a game watching guide, then confirm final availability before kickoff.
Sources
- [1] NFL Week 4 Schedule
- [2] ESPN NFL Week 4 Schedule and Game Pages
- [3] NFL Game Center
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