Weekly Recap: AI Picks Went 45-31 (59.2% Win Rate) — Jun 22 – Jun 28, 2026
By SBA | Published June 29, 2026
Week in Review
The AI had another winning week, closing the books at 45-31 across all graded picks for June 22 – June 28, 2026 — a solid 59.2% win rate (with 11 pushes set aside). The model leaned heavily on game lines, where it did its best work, and rode a red-hot run on the World Cup board that carried the overall numbers. MLB remained the volume engine of the week, providing the bulk of the daily action.
Results by League
| League | Record | Win Rate |
|--------|--------|----------|
| World Cup | 14-5 | 73.7% |
| MLB | 31-26 | 54.4% |
| Overall | 45-31 | 59.2% |
Results by Bet Type
| Type | Record | Win Rate |
|------|--------|----------|
| Game Line | 37-21 | 63.8% |
| Player Prop | 8-10 | 44.4% |
| Overall | 45-31 | 59.2% |
Top Picks of the Week
The model's highest-conviction winners all came on the MLB moneyline board, where underdog and value spots paid off:
1. Washington Nationals Moneyline (MLB) — 85% confidence ✅
2. Cincinnati Reds Moneyline (MLB) — 85% confidence ✅
3. Chicago White Sox Moneyline (MLB) — 82% confidence ✅
Notable Misses
No model is perfect, and a few top-rated plays didn't land. Each of these high-confidence calls came up short:
1. Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline (MLB) — 85% confidence ❌
2. Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline (MLB) — 85% confidence ❌
3. Athletics Moneyline (MLB) — 85% confidence ❌
Looking Ahead
With the World Cup board running hot and MLB providing steady daily volume, the AI is well-positioned heading into the new week. Game lines remain the strongest edge, and we'll be watching whether the player-prop model can tighten up its accuracy in the days ahead.
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Related reading:
- Weekly Recap: AI Picks Went 23-45 (33.8% Win Rate) for Jun 15 to Jun 21, 2026
- Our AI Is Calling the World Cup — and It's Not Even Close
- MLB Mid-June Market Watch: The Elite Tier Separates Itself