Weekly Recap: AI Picks Went 31-45 (41% Win Rate) — May 11 – May 17, 2026
By SBA | Published May 12, 2026
Week in Review
My Bet Assist's AI pick engine finished the week with a 31-45 record, delivering a 41% win rate across 76 decided picks.
Here's the full breakdown for May 11 – May 17, 2026.
Results by League
| League | Record | Win Rate |
|--------|--------|----------|
| NBA | 10-14 | 42% |
| MLB | 21-31 | 40% |
Results by Pick Type
| Type | Record | Win Rate |
|------|--------|----------|
| Game Lines | 24-30 | 44% |
| Player Props | 7-15 | 32% |
Every Pick, Graded
NBA (10-14)
NY @ PHI — New York Knicks -1.5 (Spread)
WON ✅ | Final: NY 144, PHI 114
SA @ MIN — San Antonio Spurs -4.5 (Spread)
LOST ❌ | Final: SA 109, MIN 114
NY @ PHI — Tyrese Maxey Over 6.5 Assists
LOST ❌ | Final: NY 144, PHI 114 | Actual: 4
NY @ PHI — Philadelphia 76ers ML
LOST ❌ | Final: NY 144, PHI 114
NY @ PHI — New York Knicks -1.5 (Spread)
WON ✅ | Final: NY 144, PHI 114
OKC @ LAL — Oklahoma City Thunder -10.5 (Spread)
LOST ❌ | Final: OKC 115, LAL 110
OKC @ LAL — Chet Holmgren Over 8.5 Rebounds
WON ✅ | Final: OKC 115, LAL 110 | Actual: 9
DET @ CLE — Evan Mobley Over 8.5 Rebounds
LOST ❌ | Final: DET 103, CLE 112 | Actual: 8
OKC @ LAL — LeBron James Over 7.5 Assists
LOST ❌ | Final: OKC 115, LAL 110 | Actual: 3
OKC @ LAL — Oklahoma City Thunder -10.5 (Spread)
LOST ❌ | Final: OKC 115, LAL 110
MIN @ SA — Minnesota Timberwolves +10.5 (Spread)
LOST ❌ | Final: MIN 97, SA 126
MIN @ SA — Minnesota Timberwolves +9.5 (Spread)
LOST ❌ | Final: MIN 97, SA 126
CLE @ DET — Under 212.5
LOST ❌ | Final: CLE 117, DET 113
CLE @ DET — Cleveland Cavaliers +4.5 (Spread)
WON ✅ | Final: CLE 117, DET 113
CLE @ DET — Cleveland Cavaliers ML
WON ✅ | Final: CLE 117, DET 113
CLE @ DET — Daniss Jenkins Over 8.5 Points
WON ✅ | Final: CLE 117, DET 113 | Actual: 19
SA @ MIN — San Antonio Spurs -4.5 (Spread)
WON ✅ | Final: SA 139, MIN 109
SA @ MIN — San Antonio Spurs -4.5 (Spread)
WON ✅ | Final: SA 139, MIN 109
DET @ CLE — Over 209.5 Total Points
LOST ❌ | Final: DET 115, CLE 94
DET @ CLE — Cleveland Cavaliers ML
LOST ❌ | Final: DET 115, CLE 94
DET @ CLE — Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5 (Spread)
LOST ❌ | Final: DET 115, CLE 94
SA @ MIN — San Antonio Spurs -5.5 (Spread)
WON ✅ | Final: SA 139, MIN 109
SA @ MIN — Under 218.5 Total Points
LOST ❌ | Final: SA 139, MIN 109
SA @ MIN — Stephon Castle Over 16.5 Points
WON ✅ | Final: SA 139, MIN 109 | Actual: 32
MLB (21-31)
NYY @ BAL — New York Yankees -1.5 (Spread)
LOST ❌ | Final: NYY 2, BAL 3
SF @ LAD — San Francisco Giants ML
WON ✅ | Final: SF 9, LAD 3
TB @ TOR — Tampa Bay Rays ML
WON ✅ | Final: TB 8, TOR 5
SF @ LAD — Trevor McDonald Over 4.5 Strikeouts
LOST ❌ | Final: SF 9, LAD 3 | Actual: 4
LAA @ CLE — Joey Cantillo Over 5.5 Strikeouts
LOST ❌ | Final: LAA 2, CLE 7 | Actual: 4
SF @ LAD — Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (Spread)
LOST ❌ | Final: SF 9, LAD 3
PHI @ BOS — Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (Spread)
LOST ❌ | Final: PHI 2, BOS 1
LAA @ CLE — Walbert Urena Over 3.5 Strikeouts
WON ✅ | Final: LAA 2, CLE 3 | Actual: 4
NYY @ BAL — Will Warren Over 6.5 Strikeouts
LOST ❌ | Final: NYY 6, BAL 2 | Actual: 6
DET @ NYM — Detroit Tigers ML
LOST ❌ | Final: DET 2, NYM 10
CHC @ ATL — Atlanta Braves -1.5 (Spread)
WON ✅ | Final: CHC 2, ATL 5
WSH @ CIN — Over 10 (Total)
WON ✅ | Final: WSH 10, CIN 4
COL @ PIT — Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 (Spread)
WON ✅ | Final: COL 1, PIT 3
TB @ TOR — Tampa Bay Rays ML
WON ✅ | Final: TB 7, TOR 6
NYY @ BAL — Kyle Bradish Under 5.5 Strikeouts
LOST ❌ | Final: NYY 0, BAL 7 | Actual: 7
LAA @ CLE — Parker Messick Over 6.5 Strikeouts
WON ✅ | Final: LAA 2, CLE 4 | Actual: 7
COL @ PIT — Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 (Spread)
LOST ❌ | Final: COL 10, PIT 4
CHC @ ATL — Chicago Cubs ML
LOST ❌ | Final: CHC 1, ATL 4
KC @ CHW — Kansas City Royals ML
LOST ❌ | Final: KC 5, CHW 6
WSH @ CIN — Washington Nationals ML
WON ✅ | Final: WSH 8, CIN 7
TB @ TOR — Tampa Bay Rays ML
LOST ❌ | Final: TB 3, TOR 5
WSH @ CIN — Over 9.5 Total Runs
WON ✅ | Final: WSH 8, CIN 7
PHI @ BOS — Sonny Gray Under 4.5 Strikeouts
LOST ❌ | Final: PHI 1, BOS 3 | Actual: 6
WSH @ CIN — Over 9.0 (Total)
WON ✅ | Final: WSH 8, CIN 7
DET @ NYM — Christian Scott Over 5.5 Strikeouts
LOST ❌ | Final: DET 2, NYM 3 | Actual: 5
SD @ MIL — Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (Spread)
WON ✅ | Final: SD 1, MIL 7
MIA @ MIN — Miami Marlins ML
LOST ❌ | Final: MIA 1, MIN 9
DET @ NYM — Detroit Tigers ML
LOST ❌ | Final: DET 4, NYM 9
COL @ PIT — Chase Dollander Over 5.5 Strikeouts
LOST ❌ | Final: COL 2, PIT 7 | Actual: 0
WSH @ CIN — Under 8 Runs
LOST ❌ | Final: WSH 1, CIN 15
TOR @ DET — Over 8 Total Runs
LOST ❌ | Final: TOR 2, DET 3
BAL @ WSH — Washington Nationals ML
WON ✅ | Final: BAL 2, WSH 3
CIN @ CLE — Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (Spread)
LOST ❌ | Final: CIN 7, CLE 6
PHI @ PIT — Braxton Ashcraft Over 5.5 Strikeouts
LOST ❌ | Final: PHI 11, PIT 9 | Actual: 5
MIA @ TB — Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (Spread)
WON ✅ | Final: MIA 2, TB 7
TOR @ DET — : Detroit Tigers ML
LOST ❌ | Final: TOR 2, DET 1
TOR @ DET — Casey Mize Under 4.5 Strikeouts
WON ✅ | Final: TOR 2, DET 1 | Actual: 4
TOR @ DET — Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 Home Runs
LOST ❌ | Final: TOR 2, DET 1 | Actual: 0
PHI @ PIT — Spread: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (Spread)
WON ✅ | Final: PHI 6, PIT 0
PHI @ PIT — Over 8.5 Runs
LOST ❌ | Final: PHI 6, PIT 0
ARI @ COL — Totals: Over 11.5 Runs
LOST ❌ | Final: ARI 2, COL 4
BOS @ ATL — Boston Red Sox +1.5 (Spread)
LOST ❌ | Final: BOS 1, ATL 8
BOS @ ATL — Under 8.5 (Total)
LOST ❌ | Final: BOS 1, ATL 8
BAL @ WSH — Washington Nationals ML
LOST ❌ | Final: BAL 7, WSH 3
PHI @ PIT — : Philadelphia Phillies ML
WON ✅ | Final: PHI 6, PIT 0
PHI @ PIT — Under 7 (Total)
WON ✅ | Final: PHI 6, PIT 0
MIA @ TB — Spread: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (Spread)
WON ✅ | Final: MIA 3, TB 6
MIA @ TB — Eury Perez Over 5.5 Strikeouts
LOST ❌ | Final: MIA 3, TB 6 | Actual: 5
CIN @ CLE — Spread: Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (Spread)
WON ✅ | Final: CIN 3, CLE 10
MIA @ TB — Drew Rasmussen Over 5.5 Strikeouts
LOST ❌ | Final: MIA 3, TB 6 | Actual: 2
MIA @ TB — Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs
WON ✅ | Final: MIA 3, TB 6 | Actual: 1
MIA @ TB — Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Home Runs
LOST ❌ | Final: MIA 3, TB 6 | Actual: 0
The Takeaway
A tough week at 41%. Variance is real in sports betting, and even the best models have down stretches. The key is sticking to the process — value-based picks grounded in real data will correct over time. One week doesn't define a system.
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